The cyclone Biparjoy is expected to make landfall along the Pakistan-India border and Indian Gujarat coast (Jakhau port), according to the Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD). According to the weather forecast department’s most recent update on Thursday, the cyclone is located near latitude 23.0°N and longitude 68.3°E, 150 km from Keti Bandar, 200 km from Thatta, and 245 km from Karachi. “By midnight, the landfall process will be finished. “Around the system center, maximum sustained surface winds are 100–120 km/h with gusts to 130 km/h, and sea conditions are rough/phenomenal with maximum wave heights of 20–25 feet,” it added.
The India media reported that entire process of the landfall is expected to take around six hours and it will completely touch land around midnight. During the landfall, the windspeed is expected to be between 115-125km per hour, gusting to 140km per hour. “The landfall process has started. The cyclone is still 70km away and is moving towards the coast. It will take around 6 hours for the cyclone to cross the sea into the land,” Dr M Mohapatra, the chief of the Indian Meteorological Office was quoted as saying.
Nearly 100,000 people have been evacuated and moved to shelters ahead of the cyclone’s landfall from Indian coastal areas.
The Indian authorities have also suspended commercial operations at Gujarat’s Jamnagar airport till Friday.
Meanwhile, according to Federal Minister for Climate Change Sherry Rehman, cyclone Biparjoy has “slowed down” and will not make landfall before nightfall in Pakistan.
Speaking during a press conference in the federal capital earlier today, the federal minister said it was previously expected that the cyclone would hit Sindh’s Keti Bandar around 11am.
“But, since the speed at which it is moving has slowed by 6-7km, its times of landfall is delayed and it is now expected to hit the shores until after dusk.”
However, the senator stressed that while the cyclone had “slowed down”, its core was still “intense”, and the areas identified earlier as vulnerable still needed to stay alert.
“We had earlier marked four districts at risk. Thatta, Badin, Sujawal and Malir (Karachi). Now, since the trajectory is towards the northeast, the Tharparkar region also needs to be aware of the impact of the cyclone,” she said.
“We will update you regularly since these storms are unpredictable,” Rehman said, adding that the storm was still heading towards the northeast.
She said that strong winds and heavy rainfalls are still expected to go up to 300mm in some areas, adding that while the cyclone had moved away from Karachi, its effects would be seen in these areas.
“A flood warning has been given in the sea,” she said. She warned that winds are blowing at a speed of 120-140km/h while waves of 30 feet and more are rising in the sea.
The Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) said maximum sustained surface winds are 120-140km per hour and gusts 150km per hour around the system center and sea conditions being rough/phenomenal around the system center with maximum wave height 25 feet.
Dust/thunderstorm-rain with few heavy falls and accompanied by squally winds of 60-80km per hour are likely in Karachi, Hyderabad, Tando Muhammad Khan, Tando Allayar, Shaheed Benazirabad and Sanghar districts on Thursday (today) and Friday.
Dust/thunderstorm-rain with isolated heavy falls likely in Hub, Lasbella and Khuzdar districts of Balochistan today and tomorrow (Friday). Strong winds may cause damage to loose and vulnerable structures (Kutcha houses) including solar panels etc.
Storm surge of three to four meters (10-13 feet) is expected at the land falling point Keti Bandar and around which can inundate the low-lying settlements.
Sea conditions along the Sindh coast may get very rough/ high (2-2.5 meters) and rough/ very rough (2 meters) along the Balochistan coast (Sonmiani, Hub, Kund Malir. Ormara and surroundings).